The Passage Forecast
If you are regularly traveling around a fixed location, you might want a five day forecast for that position. But vessels under way do not need a five day prediction for the place they just left. The passage forecast is a system that provides predictions for the places you expect to be in the future. A message gets sent to the passage-responder with five set of lat/long points. The points represent your current position and where you expect to be over the next 4 days. Returned is a valuable look into the future weather of your passage.
The graphic shows how you can use the forecast to help plan a passage to Hawaii from Los Angeles. A program like Visual Passage Planner can make finding the points you need easy by providing estimated daily position along the route. The points shown are what you would use the day you left LA. Or if you were deciding if you want to leave.
If you were leaving June 24, 2002, this is what you would have been looking forward to:
BUOYWEATHER.COM Marine Voyage Forecast Cycle : 20020624 t12z Time Zone: GMT - 7 hours Current Location : 34.0N -119.0W ------------------------------------------------------- WIND SEAS dir/deg range(kt) dir/per range(ft) ------------------ ------------------- 6/24 11am WSW 231 3 - 4 WNW 7sec 3 - 6 6/24 5pm WSW 256 10 - 14 W 12sec 3 - 5 6/24 11pm NW 319 8 - 11 W 12sec 3 - 5 6/25 5am NNE 13 1 - 2 WNW 11sec 3 - 5 24hr position forecast for : 33.5N -122.0W ------------------------------------------------------- WIND SEAS dir/deg range(kt) dir/per range(ft) ------------------ ------------------- 6/25 11am NW 322 13 - 18 NW 7sec 7 - 11 6/25 5pm NW 315 16 - 22 NW 8sec 7 - 11 6/25 11pm NW 317 16 - 21 NW 7sec 7 - 11 6/26 5am NW 319 17 - 23 NW 6sec 7 - 11 48hr position forecast at : 33.0N -124.75W ------------------------------------------------------- WIND SEAS dir/deg range(kt) dir/per range(ft) ------------------ ------------------- 6/26 11am NW 325 11 - 15 NNW 6sec 5 - 8 6/26 5pm NW 319 13 - 18 N 6sec 5 - 8 6/26 11pm NNW 330 13 - 18 WNW 10sec 5 - 9 6/27 5am NW 328 12 - 17 WNW 9sec 5 - 9 72hr position forecast at : 32.25N -128.5W ------------------------------------------------------- WIND SEAS dir/deg range(kt) dir/per range(ft) ------------------ ------------------- 6/27 11am NNW 343 7 - 9 WNW 9sec 5 - 8 6/27 5pm NW 320 7 - 9 WNW 12sec 5 - 8 6/27 11pm NW 326 9 - 13 WNW 11sec 5 - 9 6/28 5am WNW 296 7 - 10 WNW 10sec 5 - 8 96hr position forecast at : 31.5N -132.0W ------------------------------------------------------- WIND SEAS dir/deg range(kt) dir/per range(ft) ------------------ ------------------- 6/28 11am W 271 4 - 6 WNW 10sec 5 - 8 6/28 5pm WNW 293 7 - 9 WNW 9sec 5 - 8 6/28 11pm WNW 304 5 - 7 WNW 9sec 5 - 8 6/29 5am WNW 295 4 - 5 WNW 9sec 4 - 7
Passage forecast requests are sent to this email:
voyage@buoyweather.com
You can leave the message subject line blank. Here is the format:
nww3passageThis is what you would request the day you left L.A. notice the “enp“ grib is used because each point is within the regional Eastern North Pacific model domain:
nww3passage
Each day along the passage, a new forecast should be requested reflecting the new current position and expected future positions.
Line 1 - This must contain "nww3passage" with no leading blank spaces, capital letters, or quotes. If you type this wrong, you will not get a response!Line 2 - This is your username. The same username you use to access your Pro account online. The program will check to make sure you have an account with credits left before the data gets sent. Your password will not work here. Make sure it is your username which is probably an email address.
Line 3 - The email address you want the data sent to. You are welcome to send data to a friend. Any email address is acceptable. Just make sure there is no typo! Everyday, someone makes the mistake of entering their own email incorrectly.
Line 4- Select the grib file. Valid inputs are “nww3”, “wna”, “enp”, "med", or "gfs". nww3 is the global 1.25 X 1.0 file which is most often used. See the about WAVEWATCHIII section for which file to use. It is important that this is correct! If you use the wna or enp setting and any of your points are outside their domain, you will get an error message instead of a forecast. You may also find this more useful in some tropical regions where a convective analysis may be more important than wave height data.
Line 5 - You can adjust the time on the report to local time by entering the hours from GMT. Enter a 0 if you want the forecast report in GMT. Enter 8 if you want it for Singapore (i.e. 8 hours later than GMT) or -4 if you want it for Peru (i.e. 4 hours earlier than GMT). Never put a plus sign. "+8" for example will cause an error.
The next five lines each contain a latitude and a longitude separated by at least one space. The space between the lat & long is very important. Without it, the forecast will come back corrupt. The five sets of lat/long must be in every request. If you are due in port in 2 days, just repeat the final destination’s lat/long until you have exactly five lat/long sets.
Use a negative for southern hemisphere latitudes. E.g. -12 = 12 degrees south. The program will round off to the nearest model latitude grid point depending on which grib file you choose. Do not put a plus sign for northern latitudes! Just a number. Please read the About WAVEWATCHIII section of the userguide.When you are in the western hemisphere, enter the longitude as a negative like the sample above. The program will round off to the nearest longitude model grid point depending on which grib file you choose. Do not put a plus sign for eastern longitudes! Just a number.
Finding points near land can be tricky. There are points on the grid that are over water, which are not covered by the model. If you are coastal cruising, we strongly suggest that you plan ahead and find the near land points you will need using the online data browser before departing.